early look at del mar wednesday

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up late and handicapping w/o the benefit of any scratches or changes, but here's my take on this extremely mediocre card, which resembles a lazy wednesday at hollywood park.

r3: semoran's decision. don't know what kind of price we're in store for with this recent mullins acquisition, but this is a competitive eight pack of starter allowance runners. 'semora has trained well and the typical mullins' improvement will put this one right in the thick of it from the bell.

r6: dog days. this one is on his way up up up the class ladder for headley. he flashed some talent last year and put it all together in a very good looking win last out. this is not your typical step up in class as this optional claiming crew has only one runner with multiple victories against winners (kedington). the real key is whether 'days can transfer his turf form to dirt, and with his breeding, that shouldn't be a problem.

r7: swiss lake. this is really a play against likely favorite echo eddie, who ma be tailing off a bit after a very rigorous first few months of the year that included a trip to japan and miami. with him out of my picture, i have to beat the two mullins' horses, thunder bullet and king robyn. 'bullet looks the better of the two and has trained in smart fashion while king robyn, who admittedly is having a very nice year, has always struck me as a horse destined for another appointment with claimerville before too long. with the entry, i also get insurance with ecstatic, so anything better than 5/2 is a play for me.
 

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mazeltrick,

Do you have any numbers on trainer Vladimir Cerin. I watch his horses from time to time and his percentage of winners must be pretty high considering the number of starters he puts out.
 

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del-mar p-6 for ya'll to laugh at.
1 horse he's my bullet, seeems to have plenty of upside, and consistent in all 3 races. basically a $540 win bet here on the likely chalk.
2/3/8/9
4/6/9
2/3/5
3/4 the two horse's master threw out, I'm always wrong, so the master should win big here.
3/4/8 in the final
 

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well, semoran's decision ran to his looks and won at 4:1. let's try to pick the other two. sammy, i admire your courage on the pick-6, but why play on a day like today? there are short fields, and no carryover and your single is an even money favorite??? if you were singling a 8/1 shot, i might feel differently, but, alas, it's your money.
 

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MAZEL,

LATE NITE HANDICAPPING IS GOOD SO FAR....

SEMORAN'S DEC..WINNER...10.00 5.80 3.00
 

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dog days ran to his name; obviously better on turf. swiss lake ran her heart out, but to no avail. funny thing- i used to love to bet mullins' horses b/c they were overlooked and ran well- now that he's been hot for 6 months, his horses are overbet and i try to find a way to beat them. well, same result- they keep winning as the mutuel prices plummet.
 

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